Revenue Projections

Riding the Wave to Billions in Revenue by 2030

Based on conservative estimates and market data, Ayah aims to capture 0.1-0.5% of the EdTech market by 2030. With projected global EdTech growth to $344 billion (CAGR 14%), Ayah forecasts:

• User Growth: 500,000 users in 2026, scaling to 5 million by 2030 via viral Web3 incentives.

• ARPU (Average Revenue Per User): $8-15 annually from premiums and fees, aligned with EdTech averages.

• Revenue Milestones: $10 million in 2026 (primarily subscriptions and token fees), rising to $50 million by 2028 and $200 million by 2030, with 40% gross margins after AI costs.

• Profitability Path: Break-even by Q4 2026, with net profits reaching 20-25% by 2030 through efficient scaling and treasury yields.

These projections factor in the growth of the digital education sub-market from $32.36 billion in 2025 to $95.70 billion by 2030, at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 24%. Sensitivity analysis accounts for token volatility, with fiat revenue streams providing stability.

Q1 2026	1.5	Initial subscriptions post-launch, early affiliate commissions
Q2 2026	2.0	Growth in premium conversions, first enterprise partnerships
Q3 2026	2.5	Expanded affiliates (e.g., book recommendations)
Q4 2026	4.0	Holiday surge in sign-ups, certifications sales
Q1 2027	5.0	Scaling user base, new affiliate deals (e.g., hardware bundles)
Q2 2027	6.5	Enterprise licensing ramp-up, subscription renewals
Q3 2027	8.0	Global expansion contributions
Q4 2027	10.0	Peak seasonal revenue, partnerships maturation
Q1 2028	12.0	Sustained growth, data insights sales
Q2 2028	14.0	Affiliate optimization, premium feature upsells
Q3 2028	16.0	Web3 ecosystem grants, ad integrations
Q4 2028	18.0	Year-end boosts, enterprise renewals